Section A: Reading Comprehension
[25 marks]
Readthe passage below and then answer the questions that follow.
The Generational Power Balance
Throughout history, the clash between the old and the young has been a defining feature of both
reality and literature. Parents have power over their children ... but as those juveniles approach
adolescence, they begin to put pressure on their parents' power. They test the rules; they rebel; they
create their own rules. The parents are puzzled, frustrated and resentful about the shift in the balance
of power. They fight back; try to exert their leadership in an attempt to maintain their power. But as
they grow towards old age, they are forced to relinquish it, while the world changes into a place they
cease to recognize from their youth.
The friction between old and young is set to become a feature of the twenty first century, as we
approach a period where the balance of power reaches virgin territory. This is not to say that
relationships between the generations are expected to worsen; rather that the unprecedented
demographic changes to come will have knock-on effects that we cannot yet imagine.
How can we be so sure that trials lie ahead? Demographic trends are incredibly easy to predict.
Decades pass between the birth of children and their growth into adulthood, while rises in life
expectancy due to affluence and better medical care are gradual. Consequently, it is possible to
predict accurately what proportion of the population will be economically active, and what proportion
will be dependant, for a considerable time in the future. Hence, we know that rising as people are
living longer and having fewer children - and having them later in life - population structure will skew
much more towards the aged.
Statistical prediction is one thing. Predicting the implications of such trends on society is another thing
entirely. In the 1900s, demographers could - or at least should - have predicted that trend toward
city-living as opposed to country-living was likely to continue, as indeed it did, becoming one of the
most defining features of the twentieth century. The political, economic, social and environmental
implications of this shift were much harder to predict, however.
Many economically developed countries already fear that by 2025, there will be too few young tax-
payers in the working population to support those in old age. This is the generation that requires
pensions, medical care, local services and other benefits. Governments are already putting in steps,
such as compulsory work pensions and increases in the retirement age in an attempt to mitigate the
problem. How effective these measures prove to be remains to be seen. Moreover, this isn't just a
predicament for richer countries. All less economically developed countries outside the AIDSstricken
regions of Sub-Saharan African are experiencing the same demographic trends, and, unless their
economies develop extremely quickly, their populations will suffer much more.
Economically, therefore, adults will be at the mercy of the elderly. Governments will be obliged to
put money and efforts into the provision for the elderly and working adults will have to forego their
share. But perhaps such a conclusion is too glib. The scenario could pan out differently. After all, rising
elderly populations also bring opportunities for the young, such as in employment in products and
services geared towards the older generation. Moreover, the shift comes at a time when seniority is
beginning to count for less in the workplace than in the past. Youthful traits, such as innovation,
creativity and familiarity with new technology are being recognized more and more. Perhaps power
will not shift towards the elderly as much as demographic data suggests.
Add another twist, and we realize that the older generation are not the old-fashioned bedridden
fuddy-duddies that they perhaps were perceived to be in the past. The over-seventies look younger
and are fitter than ever. Moreover, their tastes are less divergent from those of younger generations
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