Section C:
Critical Reading and Summarising
(20]
Part 1: Critical Reading
(10]
Read the text below and then answer the questions that follow by choosing the option that best
answers each of the questions. Write only the letter of your choice in the answer book.
Jim Hansen, a climatologist at NASA's Goddard Space Institute, is convinced that the earth's
temperature is rising and places the blame on the build-up of greenhouse (5) gases in the atmosphere.
Unconvinced, John Sununu, former White House chief of staff, doubts that the warming will be great
enough to produce a serious threat and fears that measures to reduce the emissions (10) would throw
a wrench into the gears that drive the United States' troubled economy. The stakes in this debate are
extremely high, for it pits society's short-term well-being against the future of all the (15) planet's
inhabitants.
Our
past
transgressions
have
altered
major
portions
of
the
earth's surface, but the effects have been limited. Now we can foresee the possibility that to satisfy
the energy needs of an expanding (20) human population, we will rapidly change the climate of the
entire planet, with consequences for even the most remote and unspoiled regions of the globe. The
notion that certain gases could warm (25) the planet is not new. In 1896 Svante Arrhenius, a Swedish
chemist, resolved the long-standing question of how the earth's atmosphere could maintain the
planet's relatively warm temperature when the oxygen (30) and nitrogen that make up 99 percent of
the atmosphere do not absorb any of the heat escaping as infrared radiation from the earth's surface
into space. He discovered that even the small amounts of carbon (35) dioxide in the atmosphere could
absorb large amounts of heat.
Furthermore, he reasoned that the burning of coal, oil, and natural gas could eventually release
enough carbon dioxide to warm the earth. Hansen (40) and most other climatologists agree that
enough greenhouse gases have accumulated in the atmosphere to make Arrhenius's prediction come
true. Burning fossil fuels is not the only problem; a fifth (45) of our emissions of carbon dioxide now
come from clearing and burning forests. Scientists are also tracking a host of other greenhouse gases
that emanate from a variety of human activities; the warming effect (50) of methane,
chlorofluorocarbons, and nitrous oxide combined equals that of carbon dioxide. Although the current
warming from these gases may be difficult to detect against the (55) background noise of natural
climate variation, most climatologists are certain that as the gases continue to accumulate, increases
in the earth's temperature will become evident even to skeptics. The battle lines for (60) this particular
skirmish are surprisingly well balanced. Those with concerns about global warming point to the recent
report from the United Nations Intergovernmental Plan on Climate Change, which suggests (65) that
with "business as usual," emissions of carbon dioxide by the year 2025 will be 25 percent greater than
previously estimated.
On the other side, the George C. Marshall Institute, a conservative think tank, (70) published a report
warning that without greenhouse gases to warm things up, the world would become cool in the next
century. Stephen Schneider, a leading computer modeler of future climate change, accused
(75) Sununu of "brandishing the [Marshall] report as if he were holding a crucifix to repel a
vampire. If the reality of global warming were put on trial, each side would have trouble making (80)
its case. Jim Hansen's side could not prove beyond a reasonable doubt that carbon dioxide
and the other greenhouse gases have warmed the planet. But neither could John Sununu's side prove
beyond a reasonable (85) doubt that the warming expected from greenhouse gases has not occurred.
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