Question 4
Read the article below and answer the questions thereafter.
[26 Marks]
Bad news for South Africans who love chocolate
South African chocolate lovers are in for a tough year as the price of cocoa continues to
increase, climbing by almost 70%. The problem lies in the cocoa belt, particularly in West
Africa, which produces around 70% of the world's cocoa.
Extreme weather conditions, persistent drought, and fluctuating temperatures have
significantly impacted cocoa yields, sending prices soaring. A recent analysis by Climate
Central showed how climate change has exacerbated the crisis, with rising temperatures
pushing cocoa-growing regions beyond their optimal range.
"This is the first study that tries to put a number on how much humans and climate change
are influencing cocoa trees and cocoa production from West Africa," said Kristina Dahl, vice
president for science at Climate Central.
These findings confirm what many in the chocolate industry have flagged over recent years,
and that is cocoa farming is becoming increasingly unpredictable.
Chocolate and sustainability consultant Vicki Bain explains that the cocoa industry is facing
one of its most severe crises. "We're seeing more extreme weather patterns," she said.
"While some areas are getting hotter, others are experiencing prolonged dry spells, disrupting
farming cycles."
This unpredictability has led to a decline in the size and quality of cocoa harvests, forcing
global cocoa prices to reach unprecedented levels.
West African nations like Ivory Coast and Ghana, which together account for 60% of the
world's cocoa production, have been hit hardest. Farmers have also struggled against the
harsh Harmattan winds, which cause leaves to yellow and young cocoa pods to wither, further
diminishing their yields. These regions have been hit with erratic rainfall and rising
temperatures, reducing their cocoa output and rising prices.
This supply crisis has had an inevitable effect on cocoa prices. Over the past few years, the
price of cocoa beans has surged by around 500%.
Until October 2023, cocoa consistently traded below $4,000 per ton, but the situation has
rapidly worsened. "Terrible crops in West Africa, which produces most of the world's cocoa,
are primarily driving these increases," said Anthony Gird, co-founder and director at Honest
Chocolate.
The diminished supply has led to fierce competition among chocolate producers, further
increasing costs. This has led to a sharp increase in cocoa prices, affecting chocolate
manufacturers worldwide, including those in South Africa.
While chocolate manufacturers have tried to absorb some of these costs, consumers have
still felt the impact.
The Outlier's price tracker shows that in 2017, a standard milk chocolate bar cost around
R14.15 in South Africa. By December 2024, that price had jumped to R23.92-a stagging 69%
increase, far outpacing the country's overall inflation rate of 43% over the same period.
However, the extent to which consumers are affected depends on the type of chocolate they
buy.
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